ilmscore | Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision Predictions
N/A
Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 7
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 3
Pending: 2
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
There is a 19.9% chance that the Federal Reserve will implement interest rate cuts at both the December and January meetings.
"there's a 19.9% chance that they're going to cut interest rates at both the December meeting and the..."
Nov 21, 2025
Incorrect
There is a 70.1% probability of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve occurring in either the December or January meeting.
"there's a 70.1% chance that they're going to cut interest rates at either this December meeting or a..."
Nov 21, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve's September projections indicated an interest rate cut in October (which occurred) and another cut in December.
"In their projections, they wrote down that they would cut interest rates at their October meeting, w..."
Nov 7, 2025
Correct
Market expectation as of December 2025 is a 68.7% probability of a 0.25% interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at their December meeting.
"Right now, there's a 68.7% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by a quarter poin..."
Nov 7, 2025
Incorrect
The speaker believes it is more likely than not that the Federal Reserve will implement a 0.25% interest rate cut in December 2025.
"So, I do agree that it's more likely than not that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in De..."
Nov 7, 2025
Incorrect
The Federal Reserve is predicted to not cut interest rates at the July meeting.
"at the July meeting the Federal Reserve they're not going to cut interest rates and it's clearly ref..."
Jul 15, 2025
Pending
Wall Street predicted a 73% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 0.25% before the end of the year (2024).
"According to Wall Street, at the time of me recording this video, there is a 73% chance that the Fed..."
Dec 4, 2024
Pending