Fed
Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision
Topic
60.0%
Accuracy
Recent Predictions
Incorrect: 4
Pending: 10
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
There is a 70.1% probability of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve occurring in either the December or January meeting.
"there's a 70.1% chance that they're going to cut interest rates at either this December meeting or a..."
Nov 21, 2025
Correct
The market's expectation for a December interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has diminished.
"the market had a near certain expectation that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates in Decem..."
Nov 21, 2025
Correct
Following the jobs report on November 20th, the likelihood of a December rate cut rose from 32.8% to 39.5%.
"After the jobs report was released on Thursday, November 20th, the odds of a rate cut actually incre..."
Nov 21, 2025
Correct
The probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut in December had decreased to 32.8% by November 19th.
"the odds of a rate cut in December fell to 32.8% as of Wednesday, November 19th."
Nov 21, 2025
Incorrect
A significant number of Federal Reserve participants believe interest rates should remain unchanged for the remainder of the year.
"Many participants suggested that under their economic outlooks, it would likely be appropriate to ke..."
Nov 21, 2025
Correct
There is a 19.9% chance that the Federal Reserve will implement interest rate cuts at both the December and January meetings.
"there's a 19.9% chance that they're going to cut interest rates at both the December meeting and the..."
Nov 21, 2025
Incorrect
The speaker believes it is more likely than not that the Federal Reserve will implement a 0.25% interest rate cut in December 2025.
"So, I do agree that it's more likely than not that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in De..."
Nov 7, 2025
Incorrect
Market expectation as of December 2025 is a 68.7% probability of a 0.25% interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve at their December meeting.
"Right now, there's a 68.7% chance that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by a quarter poin..."
Nov 7, 2025
Incorrect
A week prior to the current date (November 7, 2025), there was a 72% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December.
"A week ago, there was a 72% chance that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by a quarter po..."
Nov 7, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve's September projections indicated an interest rate cut in October (which occurred) and another cut in December.
"In their projections, they wrote down that they would cut interest rates at their October meeting, w..."
Nov 7, 2025
Correct
The Federal Reserve is predicted to not cut interest rates at the July meeting.
"at the July meeting the Federal Reserve they're not going to cut interest rates and it's clearly ref..."
Jul 15, 2025
Pending
Following the inflation report, the probability of an interest rate cut by the September 17th meeting has decreased from 60.3% to 55.9%.
"Now, after the inflation report, the odds of an interest rate cuts decreased from 60.3% to 55.9%."
Jul 15, 2025
Pending
Following the inflation report, the probability of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates at their July 30th meeting rose to 97.4%.
"Now, after the inflation reports, the odds of the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates increas..."
Jul 15, 2025
Pending
After the inflation report, the odds of an interest rate cut by the September 17th Federal Reserve meeting fell from 60.3% to 55.9%.
"Now, after the inflation report, the odds of an interest rate cuts decreased from 60.3% to 55.9%."
Jul 15, 2025
Pending
Wall Street predicted a 73% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 0.25% before the end of the year (2024).
"According to Wall Street, at the time of me recording this video, there is a 73% chance that the Fed..."
Dec 4, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve is predicted to cut interest rates on September 18th.
"the Federal Reserve Bank is still going to cut interest rates next week on September 18th when they ..."
Sep 12, 2024
Pending
The expected interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week is predicted to be 0.25% (25 basis points), down from an earlier expectation of 0.5%.
"instead of doing a big.5% interest rate cut, they're now expecting the Federal Reserve Bank to do a ..."
Sep 12, 2024
Pending
The Federal Reserve has indicated multiple times that they will begin cutting interest rates at their upcoming meeting on September 18th.
"On September 18th, they're going to make their announcement as to what they want to do with interest..."
Sep 12, 2024
Pending
Federal Reserve Governor Chris Waller believes it is time to lower the federal funds rate and begin cutting interest rates at the upcoming meeting.
"Chris Waller, sorry, said is that number one, quote, I believe the time has come to lower the target..."
Sep 12, 2024
Pending
Wall Street's consensus is that the Federal Reserve will implement a 0.25% interest rate cut.
"And based off of this data, it seems like Wall Street believes that the Fed is going to cut interest..."
Sep 12, 2024
Pending